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Using a bite-model difference-in-variations model, we study the effect of Poland’s menthol ban, the country with the best level of menthol cigarette sales share to but attempt a ban on gross sales of menthol cigarettes. We make the most of data on the sales of electronic cigarettes bad for you and RYO tobacco collected by NielsenIQ from May 2018 to April 2021. Sales were separated by taste (customary and menthol) for every product (cigarettes and RYO) and throughout eight Nielsen-designated regions within the nation (Warsaw City, Central, West, East, North, South, South-East, South-West). Supplementary determine S2 shows that prices for electronic cigarettes bad for you menthol cigarettes remained increased than standard cigarettes and RYO tobacco throughout the study period in each region. Figure 1 illustrates the per capita cigarette and RYO gross sales sample by area across Poland from May 2018 to April 2021. Sales of menthol cigarettes declined by 97% after the ban, whereas gross sales of unflavored ‘standard’ cigarettes rose on average by 38% of their place. We also report model outcomes without price, as costs declined soon after the menthol ban, and observing the effect of that variable’s inclusion is essential to guage the findings.

While the data introduced in desk 2 recommend that regions with the best menthol sales before the ban had the biggest reduction in whole cigarette gross sales after the menthol ban, several different control variables modified meaningfully earlier than and after the menthol flavor ban. Unadjusted outcomes show that complete cigarette gross sales fall by 5 sticks per capita per 30 days in the best (4th quartile) pre-ban menthol share regions while rising by 4 sticks per capita in the IQR and falling by less than one stick per capita in the lowest (1st) quartile. In Supplementary figure S3, we display the predicted sales cut up out by pre-ban menthol share and notice that in the area with the best pre-ban menthol share (Warsaw), we noticed a statistically vital decline in sales after the menthol ban. Table 2 shows the unweighted mean of model covariates before and after the implementation of the menthol ban cut up between regions by 1st quartile (Low), interquartile range (IQR), and 4th quartile (High) by May 2018 menthol share.