In all of the talk about UFOs (surprisingly limited as it is, considering that speculating on UFOs is way more fascinating than obsessing over a stuck ship) maybe the one query most frequently asked, by each the media and the causal observer, is: do you believe aliens exist? The weird thing about asking that question is we know the reply already: (nearly) unequivocally yes, aliens exist. Almost everyone, even smart, reasonable, science-minded individuals, believes that someplace in this overwhelmingly large universe clever life has evolved. Probably many instances, in fact.

The existence of aliens was pretty much clinched with all the research showing the existence of exoplanets — that’s, planets in different solar systems. In the last couple of decades we came upon there’s tons and plenty of exoplanets. Now we know pretty much every sun has planets, and that means probably plenty of stars have habitable planets (if not most), and which means clever life probably had many possibilities to evolve — so it nearly definitely did. This is all stuck into numbers form within the Drake equation, which needs to be essentially the most boring serious thing ever revealed about aliens. You possibly can read more about it elsewhere. But basically relaxation assured that with the discovery of all these exoplanets, science folks are actually pretty certain it’s very likely that aliens exist. Somewhere.

The problem is that when folks ask «do aliens exist?» they aren’t really asking whether aliens exist someplace, they want to know if aliens exists here on Earth. Like, today. Or at least recently. And the answer to that question, by science-minded people, is: probably not, no. The reason is because area is really, really big. So big that touring between even close stars would take generations (of human lifetimes, anyway). So aliens exist somewhere, but it would probably take them hundreds of years, if not hundreds to get to Earth, in the event that they wished to. And why the hell would they need to? And in the event that they did need to, why would they out of the blue arrive right now, instead of 10,000 years before or after this moment? The reply to that’s they just wouldn’t. Just like we wouldn’t ship a ship full of people to some random star, even if we may afford to do it.

But, and this is a big but, that assumes faster-than-light (FTL) journey isn’t possible. This is a reasonable assumption, because even our scientists who currently work on our most science-fictiony stuff think that it’s fairly unlikely that FTL is something that can be achieved, even in our most sciency-fictiony future. And if it is, it would be really really hard to do. Severe scientists basically consider it’s about as straightforward as time travel — which is not possible and will forever remain so. One good piece of proof that FTL travel is inconceivable is that if it was attainable, the aliens would probably already be here. Which they are not.

Besides: for that thing in regards to the present acknowledgment of the existence of UFOs. Sure, it’s unlikely, but for just a second let’s put likelihood aside, and let’s faux that these UFOs that do exist are pushed by some extraterrestrials. If that turned out to be true, the real shocker will not be the confirmation of the existence of aliens—we already knew they existed, remember? Cool to have that confirmed positive, but the real blast-your-mind-out-the-back-of-your-skull phenomenon is that they probably are right here, now because they do have FTL capability. It’s attainable that the insane maneuvers the UFOs have demonstrated are just the low-gear cruise mode of an FTL system.

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